General Election Predictions

General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 34. Scotland - Glasgow

30 Apr 2017 at 19:25

Scotland – Glasgow

Seats: 11
Current Political Makeup: SNP 11
Predicted Political Makeup after May 7: SNP 11

47. Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill

2010 Result:
Conservative: 3374 (8.1%)
Labour: 27728 (66.6%)
Lib Dem: 3519 (8.5%)
SNP: 7014 (16.8%)
MAJORITY: 20714 (49.8%)

2015 Result:
SNP Phil Boswell 28,696 56.6 +39.8
Labour Tom Clarke 17,195 33.9 -32.7
Conservative Mhairi Fraser 3,209 6.3 -1.8
UKIP Scott Cairns 1,049 2.1 N/A
Liberal Democrat Robert Simpson 549 1.1 -7.4
Majority 11,501 22.7 n/a
Turnout 50,698 68.6 +9.2

Sitting MP: Phil Boswell (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

48. Motherwell & Wishaw

2010 Result:
Conservative: 3660 (9.4%)
Labour: 23910 (61.1%)
Lib Dem: 3840 (9.8%)
SNP: 7104 (18.2%)
TUSC: 609 (1.6%)
MAJORITY: 16806 (43%)

2015 Result:
SNP Clare Adamson 15,291 52.5 +11.1
Labour John Pentland 9,068 31.1 -12.7
Conservative Meghan Gallacher 3,991 13.7 +6.5
Liberal Democrats Yvonne Finlayson 761 2.6 +1.1
Majority 6,223 21.4
Turnout 29,111 51.0 +6.0

Sitting MP: Mario Fellows (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

49. Glasgow East

2010 Result:
Conservative: 1453 (4.5%)
Labour: 19797 (61.6%)
Lib Dem: 1617 (5%)
SNP: 7957 (24.7%)
BNP: 677 (2.1%)
UKIP: 209 (0.6%)
Others: 454 (1.4%)
MAJORITY: 11840 (36.8%)

2015 Result:
SNP Natalie McGarry 24,116 56.9 +32.2
Labour Margaret Curran 13,729 32.4 −29.2
Conservative Andrew Morrison 2,544 6.0 +1.5
UKIP Arthur Thackeray 1,105 2.6 +2.0
Scottish Green Kim Long 381 0.9 N/A
Liberal Democrats Gary McLelland 318 0.7 −4.3
Scottish Socialist Liam McLaughlan 224 0.5 −0.9
Majority 10,387 24.5
Turnout 42,417 60.3 +8.3

Sitting MP: Natalie McGarry (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

50. Glasgow North East

2010 Result:
Conservative: 1569 (5.3%)
Labour: 20100 (68.3%)
Lib Dem: 2262 (7.7%)
SNP: 4158 (14.1%)
BNP: 798 (2.7%)
TUSC: 187 (0.6%)
Others: 335 (1.1%)
MAJORITY: 15942 (54.2%)

2015 Result:
SNP Anne McLaughlin 21,976 58.1 +43.9
Labour Willie Bain 12,754 33.7 -34.7
Conservative Annie Wells 1,769 4.7 -0.7
Scottish Green Zara Kitson8 615 1.6 n/a
Liberal Democrat Eileen Baxendale9 300 0.8 -6.9
CISTA Geoff Johnson 225 0.6 n/a
TUSC Jamie Cocozza10 218 0.6 -0.1
Majority 9,222 24.4
Turnout 37,857 56.8 +7.7

Sitting MP: Ann McLaughlin (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

51. Glasgow North

2010 Result:
Conservative: 2089 (7.1%)
Labour: 13181 (44.5%)
Lib Dem: 9283 (31.3%)
SNP: 3530 (11.9%)
BNP: 296 (1%)
Green: 947 (3.2%)
TUSC: 287 (1%)
MAJORITY: 3898 (13.2%)

2015 Result:
SNP Patrick Grady5 19,610 53.1 +41.2
Labour Ann McKechin 10,315 27.9 -16.6
Conservative Lauren Hankinson 2,901 7.9 +0.8
Scottish Green Martin Bartos6 2,284 6.2 +3.0
Liberal Democrat Jade O’Neil 1,012 2.7 -28.6
UKIP Jamie Robertson 486 1.3 N/A
TUSC Angela McCormick7 160 0.4 -0.5
CISTA Russell Benson 154 0.4 N/A
Majority 9,295 25.2
Turnout 36,922 61.4 +3.8

Sitting MP: Patrick Grady (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

52. Glasgow North West

2010 Result:
Conservative: 3537 (9.9%)
Labour: 19233 (54.1%)
Lib Dem: 5622 (15.8%)
SNP: 5430 (15.3%)
BNP: 699 (2%)
Green: 882 (2.5%)
Others: 179 (0.5%)
MAJORITY: 13611 (38.3%)

2015 North West:
SNP Carol Monaghan 23,908 54.5 +39.3
Labour John Robertson 13,544 30.9 -23.2
Conservative Roger Lewis 3,692 8.4 -1.5
Liberal Democrat James Harrison6 1,194 2.7 -13.1
Scottish Green Moira Crawford7 1,167 2.7 +0.2
CISTA Chris MacKenzie 213 0.5 N/A
Communist Zoe Hennessy 136 0.3 -0.2
Majority 10,364 23.6
Turnout 43,854 64.1 +5.7

Sitting MP: Carol Mongaghan (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

53. Glasgow Central

2010 Result:
Conservative: 2158 (7.1%)
Labour: 15908 (52%)
Lib Dem: 5010 (16.4%)
SNP: 5357 (17.5%)
BNP: 616 (2%)
Green: 800 (2.6%)
UKIP: 246 (0.8%)
Others: 485 (1.6%)
MAJORITY: 10551 (34.5%)

2015 Result:
SNP Alison Thewliss8 20,658 52.5 +35.0
Labour Anas Sarwar 12,996 33.1 −19.0
Conservative Simon Bone 2,359 6.0 −1.1
Scottish Green Cass Macgregor 1,559 4.0 +1.3
UKIP Stuart Maskell9 786 2.0 +1.2
Liberal Democrat Chris Young 10 612 1.6 −14.8
CISTA James Marris 171 0.4 N/A
TUSC Andrew Elliott 11 119 0.3 N/A
Socialist Equality Katie Rhodes 58 0.1 N/A
Majority 7,662 19.5
Turnout 39,318 55.4 +4.5

Sitting MP: Alison Thewliss (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

54. Glasgow South West

2010 Result:
Conservative: 2084 (6.6%)
Labour: 19863 (62.5%)
Lib Dem: 2870 (9%)
SNP: 5192 (16.3%)
BNP: 841 (2.6%)
TUSC: 931 (2.9%)
MAJORITY: 14671 (46.2%)

2015 Result:
SNP Chris Stephens 23,388 57.2 +40.8
Labour Co-op Ian Davidson 13,438 32.8 -29.7
Conservative Gordon McCaskill 2,036 5.0 -1.6
UKIP Sarah Hemy 970 2.4 N/A
Scottish Green Sean Templeton8 507 1.2 N/A
Liberal Democrat Isabel Nelson9 406 1.0 -8.0
Scottish Socialist Bill Bonnar 176 0.4 N/A
Majority 9,950 24.3
Turnout 40,921 61.8 +7.2

Sitting MP: Chris Stephens (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

55. East Renfrewshire

2010 Result:
Conservative: 15567 (30.4%)
Labour: 25987 (50.8%)
Lib Dem: 4720 (9.2%)
SNP: 4535 (8.9%)
UKIP: 372 (0.7%)
MAJORITY: 10420 (20.4%)

2015 Result:
SNP Kirsten Oswald9 23,013 40.6 +31.7
Labour Jim Murphy10 19,295 34.0 -16.8
Conservative David Montgomery11 12,465 22.0 -8.4
Liberal Democrat Graeme Cowie12 1,069 1.9 -7.3
UKIP Robert Malyn13 888 1.6 +0.9
Majority 3,718 6.6 n/a
Turnout 56,730 81.1 +3.8

Sitting MP: Kirsten Oswald (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

This seat is constantly mentioned as a Tory target. Unless I’m missing something, they can dream on. UPDATE: A correspondent writes: The reason East Ren is seen as a Tory (and Labour) target is that there is a strong anti-independence vote. Demographically well off and a strong No in the Indy Referendum. So a battle between Labour and Tory to be seen as the best Unionist bet. Labour have selected the Director of Better Together Blair McDougall which gets that message across. Tories won the respective Scottish Parliament seat in a tight 3 way fight which gives them hope they can do well.

56. Glasgow South

2010 Result:
Conservative: 4592 (11.5%)
Labour: 20736 (51.7%)
Lib Dem: 4739 (11.8%)
SNP: 8078 (20.1%)
BNP: 637 (1.6%)
Green: 961 (2.4%)
TUSC: 351 (0.9%)
MAJORITY: 12658 (31.6%)

2015 Result:
SNP Stewart McDonald 26,773 54.9 +34.7
Labour Tom Harris 14,504 29.7 -22.0
Conservative Kyle Thornton 4,752 9.7 -1.7
Scottish Green Alastair Whitelaw6 1,431 2.9 +0.5
Liberal Democrat Ewan Hoyle7 1,019 2.1 -9.7
TUSC Brian Smith8 299 0.6 -0.3
Majority 12,269 25.2
Turnout 48,778 65.9 +4.2

Sitting MP: Stewart McDonald (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

57. Rutherglen & Hamilton W

2010 Result:
Conservative: 4540 (9.7%)
Labour: 28566 (60.8%)
Lib Dem: 5636 (12%)
SNP: 7564 (16.1%)
UKIP: 675 (1.4%)
MAJORITY: 21002 (44.7%)

2015 Result:
SNP Margaret Ferrier 30,279 52.6 +36.5
Labour Co-op Tom Greatrex 20,304 35.2 -25.6
Conservative Taylor Muir 4,350 7.6 -2.1
UKIP Janice Mackay3 1,301 2.3 +0.8
Liberal Democrat Tony Hughes 1,045 1.8 -10.2
CISTA Yvonne Maclean 336 0.6 n/a
Majority 9,975 17.3 n/a 1
Turnout 57,615 69.6 +8.1

Sitting MP: Margaret Ferrier (SNP)
Prediction: SNP hold

If you’d like to see the rest of my seat by seat predictions, click HERE

Share: