General Election Predictions

General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 57: Buckinghamshire

6 May 2017 at 15:58

BUCKINGHAMSHIRE

Seats: 7
Current Political Makeup: Con 6, Speaker 1
Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 6, Speaker 1

1. Aylesbury

2010 Result:
Conservative: 27736 (52.2%)
Labour: 6695 (12.6%)
Lib Dem: 15118 (28.4%)
UKIP: 3613 (6.8%)
MAJORITY: 12618 (23.7%)

2015 Result:
Conservative David Lidington 28,083 50.7 -1.5
UKIP Chris Adams 10,925 19.7 +12.9
Labour William Cass 8,391 15.1 +2.5
Liberal Democrat Steven Lambert 5,885 10.6 -17.8
Green David Lyons 2,135 3.9 +3.9
Majority 17,158 31.0
Turnout 55,419 69.0

Leave Vote: 51.8%

Sitting MP: David Lidington (Con)
Prediction: Conservative hold

2. Beaconsfield

2010 Result:
Conservative: 32053 (61.1%)
Labour: 6135 (11.7%)
Lib Dem: 10271 (19.6%)
Green: 768 (1.5%)
UKIP: 2597 (4.9%)
Independent: 191 (0.4%)
Others: 475 (0.9%)
MAJORITY: 21782 (41.5%)

2015 Result:
Conservative Dominic Grieve 33,621 63.2 +2.2
UKIP Tim Scott 7,310 13.8 +8.8
Labour Tony Clements 6,074 11.4 -0.3
Liberal Democrat Peter Chapman 3,927 7.4 -12.2
Green Dave Hampton 2,231 4.2 +2.7
Majority 26,311 49.5
Turnout 53,163 71.1 +1.1

Leave Vote: 49%

Sitting MP: Dominic Grieve (Con)
Prediction: Definite Conservative hold

3. Buckingham

2010 Result:
Conservative: 0 (0%)
Labour: 0 (0%)
Lib Dem: 0 (0%)
BNP: 980 (2%)
UKIP: 8401 (17.4%)
Speaker: 22860 (47.3%)
Christian: 369 (0.8%)
Independent: 10331 (21.4%)
Others: 5394 (11.2%)
MAJORITY: 12529 (25.9%)

2015 Result:
Speaker John Bercow[n 4] 34,617 64.5 +17.2
UKIP Dave Fowler 11,675 21.7 +4.3
Green Alan Francis 7,400 13.7 N/A
Majority 22,942 42.7 16.8
Turnout 53,692 69.3 4.8

Leave Vote: 48.9%

Sitting MP: John Bercow (Speaker)
Prediction: Bercow to win

4. Chesham & Amersham

2010 Result:
Conservative: 31658 (60.4%)
Labour: 2942 (5.6%)
Lib Dem: 14948 (28.5%)
Green: 767 (1.5%)
UKIP: 2129 (4.1%)
MAJORITY: 16710 (31.9%)

2015 Result:
Conservative Cheryl Gillan 31,138 59.1 -1.3
UKIP Alan Stevens 7,218 13.7 +9.6
Labour Ben Davies7 6,712 12.7 +7.1
Liberal Democrat Kirsten Johnson8 4,761 9.0 -19.5
Green Gill Walker9 2,902 5.5 +4.0
Majority 23,920 45.4 +13.5
Turnout 52,731 72.7 -1.9

Leave Vote: 45%

Sitting MP: Cheryl Gillan (Con)
Prediction: Conservative hold

5. Milton Keynes North
2010 Result:
Conservative: 23419 (43.5%)
Labour: 14458 (26.8%)
Lib Dem: 11894 (22.1%)
BNP: 1154 (2.1%)
Green: 733 (1.4%)
UKIP: 1772 (3.3%)
Independent: 95 (0.2%)
Others: 363 (0.7%)
MAJORITY: 8961 (16.6%)

2015 Result:
Conservative Mark Lancaster 27,244 47.2 +3.8
Labour Emily Darlington 17,491 30.3 +3.5
UKIP David Reilly 6,852 11.9 +8.6
Liberal Democrat Paul Graham 3,575 6.2 -15.9
Green Jennifer Marklew 2,255 3.9 +2.5
TUSC Katie Simpson 163 0.3 N/A
Independent David Mortimer 112 0.2 N/A
Majority 9,753 16.9 +0.3
Turnout 57,692 66.4 +0.6

Leve Vote: 49.7%

Sitting MP: Mark Lancaster (Con)
Prediction: Conservative hold

6. Milton Keynes South

2010 Result:
Conservative: 23034 (41.6%)
Labour: 17833 (32.2%)
Lib Dem: 9787 (17.7%)
BNP: 1502 (2.7%)
Green: 774 (1.4%)
UKIP: 2074 (3.7%)
Others: 329 (0.6%)
MAJORITY: 5201 (9.4%)

2015 Result:
Conservative Iain Stewart7 27,601 46.8 +5.2
Labour Andrew Pakes8 18,929 32.1 -0.1
UKIP Vince Peddle9 7,803 13.2 +9.5
Liberal Democrat Lisa Smith10 2,309 3.9 -13.8
Green Samantha Pancheri 1,936 3.3 +1.9
Independent Stephen Fulton 255 0.4 +0.4
Keep It Real Party Matthew Gibson 116 0.2 +0.2
Majority 8,672 14.7
Turnout 59,019 65.8 +1.9

Leave Vote: 53.1%

Sitting MP: Iain Stewart (Con)
Prediction: Conservative hold

7. Wycombe

2010 Result:
Conservative: 23423 (48.6%)
Labour: 8326 (17.3%)
Lib Dem: 13863 (28.8%)
UKIP: 2123 (4.4%)
Independent: 228 (0.5%)
Others: 188 (0.4%)
MAJORITY: 9560 (19.9%)

2015 Result:
Conservative Steve Baker 26,444 51.4 +2.8
Labour David Williams 11,588 22.5 +5.2
UKIP David Meacock 5,198 10.1 +5.7
Liberal Democrat Steve Guy 4,546 8.8 -20.0
Green Jem Bailey 3,086 6.0 n/a
Independent David Fitton 577 1.1 +0.7
Majority 14,856 28.9 +9.0
Turnout 51,439 67.410 +1.2

Leave Vote: 48.4%

Sitting MP: Steve Baker (Con)
Prediction: Conservative hold

To see the complete list of predictions click HERE

Share: