So How Accurate Were My Euro Election Predictions?

Making predictions, especially in politics, is a bit of a fool’s game, but there’s no fool like an old fool so I put my money where my mouth was and predicted the outcome of the European elections. I reckon I didn’t do too badly…

CONSERVATIVE PARTY
Predicted Seats: 20
Actual Seats: 19

LABOUR PARTY
Predicted Seats: 18
Actual Seats: 20

LIBERAL DEMOCRATS
Predicted Seats: 1
Actual Seats: 1

UKIP
Predicted Seats: 24
Actual Seats: 24

GREEN PARTY
Predicted Seats: 3
Actual Seats: 3

BRITISH NATIONAL PARTY
Predicted Seats: 0
Actual Seats: 0

SNP
Predicted Seats: 3
Actual Seats: 2

PLAID CYMRU
Predicted Seats in 2014: 1
Predicted Seats Range: 1

On the regional predictions I was a little less accurate, but I got four regions bang on.

EAST OF ENGLAND
Prediction: UKIP 3, Con 2, Lab 1, Green 1
Actual: UKIP 3, Con 3, Lab 1

SOUTH EAST
Prediction: UKIP 4, Con 3, Lab 2, Green 1
Actual: UKIP 4, Con 3, Lab 1, Green, LibDem 1

SOUTH WEST
Prediction: LibDem 1, Con 2, UKIP 3
Actual: Con 2, UKIP 2, Green 1, Lab 1

LONDON
Prediction: UKIP 2, Con 2, Lab 3, Green 1
Actual: UKIP 1, Con 2, Lab 4, Green 1

WEST MIDLANDS
Prediction: Con 2, Lab 2, UKIP 3
Actual: Con 2, Lab 2, UKIP 3
GOLD STAR!

EAST MIDLANDS
Prediction: Con 2, Lab 1, UKIP 2
Actual: Con2, Lab 1, UKIP 2
GOLD STAR!

NORTH WEST
Prediction: Con 2, Lab 3, UKIP 3
Actual: Con 2, Lab 3, UKIP 3
GOLD STAR

NORTH EAST
Prediction: Con 1, Lab 1, UKIP 1
Actual: Lab 2, UKIP 1

SCOTLAND
Prediction: SNP 3, Lab 2, Con 1
Actual: SNP 2, Lab 2, Con 1, UKIP 1

YORKSHIRE & HUMBER
Prediction: Con 2, Lab 2, UKIP 2
Actual: Con 1, Lab 2, UKIP 3

WALES
Prediction: Lab 1, Plaid 1, Con 1, UKIP 1
Actual: Lab 1, Plaid 1, Con 1, UKIP 1
GOLD STAR