Over the next two weeks I will be trying to predict the results of the European Elections which take place in the UK on May 22, with the results being announced late in the evening of Sunday 25 May. I will be hosting a European Elections Special Programme on LBC from 9pm that evening. Let’s now turn to the North East, where 3 seats are up for grabs. The constituency corresponds to the North East England region of the United Kingdom, comprising the ceremonial counties of Northumberland, Tyne and Wear, County Durham and parts of North Yorkshire. The constituency was formed as a result of the European Parliamentary Elections Act 1999, replacing a number of single-member constituencies. These were Durham, Northumbria, Tyne and Wear, and parts of Cleveland and Richmond.
2009
Con 1
Lab 1
LibDem 1
In 2004 the result was identical to 2004. In 1999 it was Labour 3, Conservative 1 (the constituency had 4 members in 1999).
My prediction for this year is this…
2014
Con 1
Lab 1
UKIP 1
This is probably the easiest constituency to call. Last time the LibDems got a seat with 17.6% of the vote, with UKIP only 2.2% behind. I doubt there is a single LibDem who believes they won’t be beaten into fourth place.
Predicted Winning Candidates
Conservative Party – Martin Callanan
UKIP – Jonathan Arnott
Labour – Judith Curton-Darling
East Anglia
South East
London
South West
West Midlands
East Midlands
North West
