Oh Nick, Nick Nick. Much to my surprise Andrew Marr quoted my prediction from the Independent on Sunday that…
The one prediction I am 100% confident in making is that the Liberal Democrats will lose more than half of their seats.
Now, I do have form on getting LibDem seat predictions wrong. After all, I stood in North Norfolk and last time on election night I promised to run down Whitehall naked if the BBC exit poll was right and the LibDems only won 59 seats. The fact that they won two fewer was my, ahem, get-out clause. But am I not right in remembering that Nick Clegg himself has predicted the LibDems will get around 30 – which is not far off losing half their seats.
Obviously all my seat per party predictions will be wrong. It would be amazing if they weren’t, but if I changed my prediction to 5 or 10 seat ranges, I don’t think I am going to be far out. So this is what I’ll stand by, although I will revise this as the election draws closer.
Conservative 275-285
Labour 290-300
LibDem 22-27
UKIP 1-5
SNP 15-20
Plaid 2-4
DUP 7-10
I see some people are stil predicting 40 for the SNP. Don’t make me laugh.
UPDATE: To see the complete list of constituency predictions click HERE
