General Election Predictions 70: Merseyside (Part 1)

  • 15 Jan 2015

This is the seventieth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each sea...

Sky's Job is to Broadcast the News, Not Censor It

  • 15 Jan 2015

This was from last night’s paper review on Sky News, where Jenny Kleeman and I made clear our views on Sky’s apology for showing the front cover of the new issue of Charlie Hebdu. Hattip for video to @Liarpoliticians

General Election Predictions 69: Cheshire

  • 15 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-ninth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each se...

Independent Column: Who Will Win the General Election?

  • 15 Jan 2015

So what’s the election result going to be? That’s the question I am asked most often nowadays, and I am sure it’s the one my fellow political commentators also find the most difficult to answer. “Oh, it’s going to be very exciting,” we all say, laughing nervously because nobod...

General Election Predictions 68: Greater Manchester N-Z

  • 14 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-eighth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each s...

General Election Predictions 67: Greater Manchester F-M

  • 14 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-seventh in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each ...

General Election Predictions 66: Greater Manchester A-E

  • 14 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-sixth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each se...

Can the Scottish Polls Be Right?

  • 13 Jan 2015

I’ve now finished publishing my predictions for Scottish seats. Few people seem to have quibbled with very much that I have predicted, yet my predictions are way out from the polls, which project an SNP vote share of anything between 45% and 50% with Labour being in the low 20...

General Election Predictions 66: West Midlands T-Z

  • 13 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-sixth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each se...

General Election Predictions 65: West Midlands A-S

  • 13 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-fifth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each se...

General Election Predictions 64: Birmingham

  • 13 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-fourth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each s...

General Election Predictions 63: Scotland - Glasgow

  • 13 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-third in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each se...

General Election Predictions 62: Scotland - Glasgow Surrounds

  • 13 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-second in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each s...

General Election Predictions 61: Scotland - Borders & Ayrshire

  • 13 Jan 2015

This is the sixty-first in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each se...

General Election Predictions 60: Scotland - Edinburgh

  • 13 Jan 2015

This is the sixtieth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each seat ...

General Election Predictions 59: Scotland - Fife

  • 12 Jan 2015

This is the fifty-nineth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each s...

General Election Predictions 58: Scotland - Central

  • 12 Jan 2015

This is the fifty-eighth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each s...

General Election Predictions 57: Scotland - North East

  • 12 Jan 2015

This is the fifty-seventh in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each ...

General Election Predictions 56: Scotland - North & Islands

  • 12 Jan 2015

This is the fifty-sixth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each se...

General Election Predictions 55: Cumbria

  • 12 Jan 2015

This is the fifty-fifth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each se...