Over the next two weeks I will be trying to predict the results of the European Elections which take place in the UK on May 22, with the results being announced late in the evening of Sunday 25 May. I will be hosting a European Elections Special Programme on LBC from 9pm that evening. Let’s now turn to Yorkshire & the Humber, where 6 seats are up for grabs. The constituency corresponds to the Yorkshire and the Humber region of the United Kingdom, comprising the ceremonial counties of South Yorkshire, West Yorkshire, East Riding of Yorkshire and parts of North Yorkshire and Lincolnshire. It was formed as a result of the European Parliamentary Elections Act 1999, replacing a number of single-member constituencies. These were Humberside, Leeds, North Yorkshire, Sheffield, Yorkshire South, Yorkshire South West, Yorkshire West, and parts of Cleveland and Richmond and Lincolnshire and Humberside South.
2009
Con 2
Lab 1
LibDem 1
UKIP 1
BNP 1
In 2004 the result was Labour 2, Conservative 2, UKIP 1, LibDem 1. In 1999 it was Labour 3, Conservative 3, LibDem 1 (the constituency had 7 members in 1999).
My prediction for this year is this…
2014
Con 2
Lab 2
UKIP 2
The Tory Edward McMillan-Scott defected from the Conservatives to the LibDems during the last Parliament and remains their lead candidate. With 13% of the vote last time, if this holds up, it is not impossible, but I’d say unlikely. This is a strong region for UKIP and it seems highly likely that they will make a gain here, even without the efforts of the redoubtable Godfrey Bloom. If the Tories retain their two seats Olympic rower Alex Story will join the Parliament. I worked with him a 18 Doughty Street.
Predicted Winning Candidates
Conservative Party – Timothy Kirkhope, Alex Story
UKIP – Jane Collins, Afjad Bashir
Labour – Linda McAvan, Richard Corbett
OTHER REGIONAL PREDICTIONS
East Anglia
South East
London
South West
West Midlands
East Midlands
North West
North East
Scotland
